2026 Nobel Peace Prize Odds Before Oslo
Oslo names the 2026 laureate on October 9. The October 7 board had no favorite, and this note shows how to read that crowded field on Predwise.
When is the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize announced?
The Norwegian Nobel Committee announces the 2026 laureate on Friday, October 9, 2026. The October 7 price board is a snapshot, and the prices can move until Oslo speaks.
Who leads the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize odds?
On the October 7 Polymarket board reported by RG.org, Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms led at 15%. Mykola Kuleba was at 9%, Save the Children at 8%, the International Court of Justice at 6%, and Yulia Navalnaya at 5%.
Does a 15% price mean that name will win?
A 15% price means the market is charging about 15 cents for a contract that pays 1 dollar if that name is the laureate. The top 12 names on that board added up to about 68%, so most of the field was still open.
Where do I follow a related event on Predwise?
Use Predwise Search or the politics and geopolitics categories, then read the resolution rule on the event page. A durable example is the US-Iran ceasefire market.
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