Israel Prime Minister Odds Before Oct 27
Israel votes on October 27. The October 22 board had Gadi Eisenkot near 49% and Benjamin Netanyahu near 31%, on a contract that does not settle the ceasefire.
What are the Israel prime minister odds before October 27?
On Polymarket’s featured board on October 22, Gadi Eisenkot was 48.6%, Benjamin Netanyahu was 31%, Naftali Bennett was 16%, and Avigdor Lieberman was 2.1%, with about $51 million traded. The card spells Eisenkot as Eizenkot. RG.org’s October 22 table, priced at 12:07 a.m. ET, had Eisenkot at 50% and Netanyahu at 27%.
Do the seat polls give Eisenkot a majority?
RG.org’s October 22 note says they do not. An average of four polls published October 21 had Yashar at 22.5 seats and Likud at 19.75. Channel 12 had the blocs at 55 to 51, and a seven-poll average cited from The New Arab had the blocs level at 51. Sixty-one seats are required.
Does the Israel election settle the Iran ceasefire market?
No. On the October 22 featured board, a US-Iran ceasefire through October 22 was 91.8%, through October 24 was 86%, and through October 31 was 73%. Those dates are a ladder. The prime minister contract is a person.
Where do I read the Israel vote on Predwise?
Open politics markets or Predwise Search and match the name and October 27. Then read who the contract pays, and whether it pays on election night or when a government is sworn in.
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