October Fed Odds and the Bitcoin Price Ladder
September Fed minutes kept a year-end hike in view, while the October meeting contract priced a hike at 16%. The October 8 Bitcoin ladder is a separate clock.
What did the September 2026 Fed minutes say?
Minutes of the September 15–16 meeting said most participants thought another increase in the federal funds target range would likely be appropriate by year-end. They also said later moves depend on incoming data.
What are the October 2026 Fed rate odds?
On RG.org’s October 7 Polymarket board, a quarter-point hike at the October 27–28 meeting was 16%, down from about 65% in late September. No change was 84%. A 25-basis-point hike at the December 8–9 meeting was 75%.
What did the Bitcoin price ladder say for October 8?
A Polymarket daily ladder put Bitcoin’s noon ET October 8 price near $83,231, with a 50% range of $82,412 to $84,130. That contract settles on a Binance one-minute candle, which is a different clock from a 5-minute Predwise window.
Where do I watch crypto event contracts on Predwise?
Open crypto markets or Predwise Search, then read the resolution source and the window length. A 5-minute up-or-down contract does not settle the October Fed meeting.
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